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mlbMoneyline.2026-05-07◆◆◆◇◇Nuro Edge 6.0LOCKED ab96ea26

Arizona Diamondbacks ML

Pittsburgh Pirates @ Arizona Diamondbacks

-114risk1uwin0.88u
LOSS
ESPN box score →

Stake

1u

Odds

-114

Closing

+109

CLV

-10.18%

Source

AI

Why this pick4 factors · locked at post time
Edge

Pre-tip moneyline favorite, line-shopped to best of 13 US books (chosen book: betrivers)

Signal

Lineup-gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)

Context

MLB Tracked Pick · single-game pre-commit · v0 stub model (ref: 76847a)

Risk

sharp-stub-v0 picks the moneyline favorite at fire time. The juice on favorites prices the raw hit rate; net edge after juice is unproven on this small sample. **No edge claim. Track, don't tail.** Public record at nuropicks.com/record.

Final · Grading detail
Pittsburgh Pirates4
Arizona Diamondbacks2
Winner: Pittsburgh Pirates · 2026-05-07
Related Picks (20)

CLV math

Posted
-114
1.8772
Closing
+109
2.0900
Delta
-10.18%
posted/closing - 1

Market closed tighter than where we shipped. One pick is noise; the trend at /record tells the story.

Audit trail

Pick ID#506
UUID6e0835eb-f992-437a-99b7-46acccaa4132
Surfacesharp:MLB
Posted2026-05-07 19:11 UTC
Graded2026-05-07 22:16 UTC
Lineup confirmmlb:825090:2026-05-07T19:40:00Z
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hashab96ea26ea3743b5e3ffdacd2f328a8a67298e7ea3ec5e4b5f77c3ca41b8cfec
Closing line+109 captured 2026-05-07 19:41 UTC
CLV delta-10.18%
Closing hashb24ef62f0f8d6d8a3ea79ced2fa23964a0e0040f340b429c90503e6cb14818b3

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Why this receipt is trustable

  • Append-only ledger87.4% hashed
    1,137 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
  • Graded against close62.0% closed
    1,126 settled picks · 62.0% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
  • Every pick public11 pending
    Wins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
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