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mlbMoneyline.2026-05-07◆◆◆◇◇Nuro Edge 6.0LOCKED 259ef08d

Kansas City Royals ML

Cleveland Guardians @ Kansas City Royals

-143risk1uwin0.7u
LOSS
ESPN box score →

Stake

1u

Odds

-143

Closing

-141

CLV

-0.58%

Source

AI

Why this pick4 factors · locked at post time
Edge

Pre-tip moneyline favorite, line-shopped to best of 13 US books (chosen book: draftkings)

Signal

Lineup-gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)

Context

MLB Tracked Pick · single-game pre-commit · v0 stub model

Risk

sharp-stub-v0 picks the moneyline favorite at fire time. The juice on favorites prices the raw hit rate; net edge after juice is unproven on this small sample. **No edge claim. Track, don't tail.** Public record at nuropicks.com/record.

Final · Grading detail
Cleveland Guardians8
Kansas City Royals5
Winner: Cleveland Guardians · 2026-05-07
Related Picks (20)

CLV math

Posted
-143
1.6993
Closing
-141
1.7092
Delta
-0.58%
posted/closing - 1

Market closed tighter than where we shipped. One pick is noise; the trend at /record tells the story.

Audit trail

Pick ID#503
UUIDe06f8004-f272-4fd8-a7c4-2379bbd3b322
Surfacesharp:MLB
Posted2026-05-07 16:56 UTC
Graded2026-05-07 21:19 UTC
Lineup confirmmlb:824117:2026-05-07T18:10:00Z
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash259ef08d4eae4fa188d6db4fe73209e9b98ccf6f666c98952995456c7d501c17
Closing line-141 captured 2026-05-07 18:12 UTC
CLV delta-0.58%
Closing hash8462d1d4c149b42d3073628f2e26af0345ef5f7eb41bd6d773b3292482daa82c

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Why this receipt is trustable

  • Append-only ledger87.4% hashed
    1,137 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
  • Graded against close62.0% closed
    1,126 settled picks · 62.0% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
  • Every pick public11 pending
    Wins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
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