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mlbMoneyline.2026-05-07LOCKED d859bca0

Chicago Cubs ML

Cincinnati Reds @ Chicago Cubs

-198PENDINGESPN box score →
Bet onDKFDMGMCZRESPNRVRSFANHR

Stake

1u

Odds

-198

Closing

-169

CLV

-5.44%

Source

AI

Why this pick4 factors · locked at post time
Edge

Pre-tip moneyline favorite, line-shopped to best of 13 US books (chosen book: fanduel)

Signal

Lineup-gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)

Context

MLB Tracked Pick · single-game pre-commit · v0 stub model

Risk

sharp-stub-v0 picks the moneyline favorite at fire time. The juice on favorites prices the raw hit rate; net edge after juice is unproven on this small sample. **No edge claim. Track, don't tail.** Public record at nuropicks.com/record.

CLV math

Posted
-198
1.5051
Closing
-169
1.5917
Delta
-5.44%
posted/closing - 1

Market closed tighter than where we shipped. One pick is noise; the trend at /record tells the story.

Audit trail

Pick ID#504
UUIDd815f185-c844-4c2f-8e43-4482f7497d43
Surfacesharp:MLB
Posted2026-05-07 17:51 UTC
Gradedpending
Lineup confirmmlb:824681:2026-05-07T18:20:00Z
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hashd859bca0192e9b00bbe34cf493b0e96ceabafd7680a6d76c3f950ee30e2a107e
Closing line-169 captured 2026-05-07 18:21 UTC
CLV delta-5.44%
Closing hashee375ac1a882e1da0035422d2c6eb241652b68c7d3e2c55db772842114144f39
Entertainment, not financial advice. 21+ only. Past performance does not predict future results. If sports betting stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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