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mlbMoneyline.2026-05-07◆◆◆◇◇Nuro Edge 6.0LOCKED aae04255

New York Mets ML

New York Mets @ Colorado Rockies

-145risk1u→win0.69u
LOSS
ESPN box score →

Stake

1u

Odds

-145

Closing

-161

CLV

+4.23%

Source

AI

Why this pick4 factors · locked at post time
Edge

Pre-tip moneyline favorite, line-shopped to best of 13 US books (chosen book: bovada)

Signal

Lineup-gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)

Context

MLB Tracked Pick · single-game pre-commit · v0 stub model

Risk

sharp-stub-v0 picks the moneyline favorite at fire time. The juice on favorites prices the raw hit rate; net edge after juice is unproven on this small sample. **No edge claim. Track, don't tail.** Public record at nuropicks.com/record.

Final · Grading detail
New York Mets2
Colorado Rockies6
Winner: Colorado Rockies · 2026-05-07
Related Picks (20)

CLV math

Posted
-145
1.6897
Closing
-161
1.6211
Delta
+4.23%
posted/closing - 1

Positive CLV means we beat the closing number. Leading indicator the model and timing edge are real.

Audit trail

Pick ID#505
UUID1d987a17-a6ef-4fac-8ac7-5627407820be
Surfacesharp:MLB
Posted2026-05-07 17:56 UTC
Graded2026-05-07 22:06 UTC
Lineup confirmmlb:824362:2026-05-07T19:10:00Z
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hashaae042554d848eaa1469ef8367501e7572a4066093c8df8b1cd0d3dfa2c590ad
Closing line-161 captured 2026-05-07 19:12 UTC
CLV delta+4.23%
Closing hash83570afae8ca6d5f28e13909c10d89c8fb10c0907c686704909c767a765a4afa

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Why this receipt is trustable

  • Append-only ledger87.4% hashed
    1,137 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
  • Graded against close62.0% closed
    1,126 settled picks · 62.0% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
  • Every pick public11 pending
    Wins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
Entertainment, not financial advice. 21+ only. Past performance does not predict future results. If sports betting stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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