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mlsMoneyline.2026-05-09💎Elite◆◆◆◇◇Nuro Edge 6.0LOCKED ae6994a9

Inter Miami CF ML

Inter Miami CF @ Toronto FC

-120risk1uwin0.83u
WIN
ESPN box score →

Stake

1u

Odds

-120

Closing

-170

CLV

+15.43%

Source

AI

Why this pick4 factors · locked at post time
Edge

Pre-tip moneyline favorite, line-shopped to best of 13 US books (chosen book: fanatics)

Signal

Lineup-gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)

Context

MLS Tracked Pick · single-game pre-commit · v0 stub model

Risk

sharp-stub-v0 picks the moneyline favorite at fire time. The juice on favorites prices the raw hit rate; net edge after juice is unproven on this small sample. **No edge claim. Track, don't tail.** Public record at nuropicks.com/record.

Game context

Context signals

  • 🎯 **Why this favorite?** Inter Miami CF priced at **54.5% implied** to win — book's read on every input (lineups, splits, weather, totals) compressed into one number. Bot's heuristic: take the favorite when the line is firm. Hit-rate over a long sample beats no-edge baseline net of juice.
  • 📈 **Best of 13 books** ➊ FANATICS -120 ➋ BETMGM -125 ➌ BETRIVERS -129

Line movement

-120-170-0.25 dec
Related Picks (12)

CLV math

Posted
-120
1.8333
Closing
-170
1.5882
Delta
+15.43%
posted/closing - 1

Positive CLV means we beat the closing number. Leading indicator the model and timing edge are real.

Audit trail

Pick ID#585
UUID171b2c44-2427-413b-8fc2-c320d0aad351
Surfacesharp_degraded:MLS
Posted2026-05-09 16:30 UTC
Graded2026-05-09 19:13 UTC
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hashae6994a91f37fb86a0ec6175e4e1ddf997519d255f90ae4073d34bc7211d4afc
Closing line-170 captured 2026-05-09 17:13 UTC
CLV delta+15.43%
Closing hash2881351c86064bcb4ea94093f4939295aa13c320dba99b3fe1eb9802f19b5159

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Why this receipt is trustable

  • Append-only ledger95.6% hashed
    990 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
  • Graded against close58.4% closed
    986 settled picks · 58.4% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
  • Every pick public4 pending
    Wins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
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