Over 2.5
Inter Miami CF @ Toronto FC
Edge
Friendly alt over at 70.6% implied (target 70%), trades payout for hit rate.
Signal
Same lineup gate as ML
Context
MLS alt-total surface, over-side at friendly rung
Risk
Alt-line heuristic. No model fair-line; we're buying probability, not edge. Track CLV vs. mainline closing.
Related Picks (12)
Same slate
Same team (7d)
Same model
Audit trail
Pick ID#587
UUIDca258a2c-6f7c-4173-8d1e-da1b48188f6f
Surfacesharp_degraded:MLS
Posted2026-05-09 16:30 UTC
Graded2026-05-09 19:19 UTC
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash31a0d75dab1b402d4901d1cf0321a699bcd78e75acc3031c4949d710a072e3ae
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Why this receipt is trustable
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- Graded against close58.4% closed986 settled picks · 58.4% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
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