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ufcMoneyline.2026-05-09🔒 ProLOCKED d0de699b

Jose Ochoa ML

Jose Ochoa @ Clayton Carpenter

-170PENDING
Bet onDKFDMGMCZRESPNRVRSFANHR

Stake

1u

Odds

-170

Closing

-180

CLV

+2.10%

Source

AI

Why this pick4 factors · locked at post time
Edge

Pre-tip moneyline favorite, line-shopped to best of 13 US books (chosen book: betonlineag)

Signal

Lineup-gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)

Context

UFC Tracked Pick · single-game pre-commit · v0 stub model (ref: 100edd)

Risk

sharp-stub-v0 picks the moneyline favorite at fire time. The juice on favorites prices the raw hit rate; net edge after juice is unproven on this small sample. **No edge claim. Track, don't tail.** Public record at nuropicks.com/record.

CLV math

Posted
-170
1.5882
Closing
-180
1.5556
Delta
+2.10%
posted/closing - 1

Positive CLV means we beat the closing number. Leading indicator the model and timing edge are real.

Audit trail

Pick ID#610
UUID61a4f0a1-4dae-4ca1-a221-186943c3eabb
Surfacesharp_degraded:UFC
Posted2026-05-09 20:55 UTC
Gradedpending
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hashd0de699ba808993843c198360e33e92f6638e930f13e56e7450b47df30ba668a
Closing line-180 captured 2026-05-09 21:16 UTC
CLV delta+2.10%
Closing hashefe795c718ec7407bad84f6bf5b87749a55321b2ceb686b0fe91ef51cbb809ee
Entertainment, not financial advice. 21+ only. Past performance does not predict future results. If sports betting stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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