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ufcMoneyline.2026-05-09LOCKED 55e05a9a

Baysangur Susurkaev ML

Djorden Santos @ Baysangur Susurkaev

-770PENDING
Bet onDKFDMGMCZRESPNRVRSFANHR

Stake

1u

Odds

-770

Closing

-900

CLV

+1.69%

Source

AI

Why this pick4 factors · locked at post time
Edge

Pre-tip moneyline favorite, line-shopped to best of 13 US books (chosen book: betrivers)

Signal

Lineup-gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)

Context

UFC Tracked Pick · single-game pre-commit · v0 stub model

Risk

sharp-stub-v0 picks the moneyline favorite at fire time. The juice on favorites prices the raw hit rate; net edge after juice is unproven on this small sample. **No edge claim. Track, don't tail.** Public record at nuropicks.com/record.

CLV math

Posted
-770
1.1299
Closing
-900
1.1111
Delta
+1.69%
posted/closing - 1

Positive CLV means we beat the closing number. Leading indicator the model and timing edge are real.

Audit trail

Pick ID#612
UUID33569e05-1557-4f80-9a32-ca58584bf587
Surfacesharp_degraded:UFC
Posted2026-05-09 21:25 UTC
Gradedpending
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash55e05a9aefcd4917a633b11367fa624654033f13752490231a5304a233dd487f
Closing line-900 captured 2026-05-09 21:46 UTC
CLV delta+1.69%
Closing hash20409c4cec23da65be6a83d183ea46260b5feb117cae48a93093288b09b496da
Entertainment, not financial advice. 21+ only. Past performance does not predict future results. If sports betting stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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