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ufcMoneyline.2026-05-09LOCKED c3c7d4df

Jared Gordon ML

Jim Miller @ Jared Gordon

-250PENDING
Bet onDKFDMGMCZRESPNRVRSFANHR

Stake

1u

Odds

-250

Closing

-260

CLV

+1.11%

Source

AI

Why this pick4 factors · locked at post time
Edge

Pre-tip moneyline favorite, line-shopped to best of 13 US books (chosen book: betmgm)

Signal

Lineup-gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)

Context

UFC Tracked Pick · single-game pre-commit · v0 stub model

Risk

sharp-stub-v0 picks the moneyline favorite at fire time. The juice on favorites prices the raw hit rate; net edge after juice is unproven on this small sample. **No edge claim. Track, don't tail.** Public record at nuropicks.com/record.

CLV math

Posted
-250
1.4000
Closing
-260
1.3846
Delta
+1.11%
posted/closing - 1

Positive CLV means we beat the closing number. Leading indicator the model and timing edge are real.

Audit trail

Pick ID#641
UUID017f5d63-c1a7-42af-be26-1d659143877b
Surfacesharp_degraded:UFC
Posted2026-05-09 22:55 UTC
Gradedpending
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hashc3c7d4dfff9d1ffbdde6dcdfabc26d71d47bcd6eecb085b600af8003f6e082f5
Closing line-260 captured 2026-05-09 23:17 UTC
CLV delta+1.11%
Closing hash54e335d1b575aaf362e3887d18f45240fc33d54c1ba414cd28a11be74e0ae2b6
Entertainment, not financial advice. 21+ only. Past performance does not predict future results. If sports betting stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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