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ufcMoneyline.2026-05-09🔒 ProLOCKED 922851b5

Grant Dawson ML

Grant Dawson @ Mateusz Rebecki

-142PENDING
Bet onDKFDMGMCZRESPNRVRSFANHR

Stake

1u

Odds

-142

Closing

-142

CLV

0.00%

Source

AI

Why this pick4 factors · locked at post time
Edge

Pre-tip moneyline favorite, line-shopped to best of 13 US books (chosen book: betonlineag)

Signal

Lineup-gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)

Context

UFC Tracked Pick · single-game pre-commit · v0 stub model

Risk

sharp-stub-v0 picks the moneyline favorite at fire time. The juice on favorites prices the raw hit rate; net edge after juice is unproven on this small sample. **No edge claim. Track, don't tail.** Public record at nuropicks.com/record.

CLV math

Posted
-142
1.7042
Closing
-142
1.7042
Delta
0.00%
posted/closing - 1

Positive CLV means we beat the closing number. Leading indicator the model and timing edge are real.

Audit trail

Pick ID#642
UUIDa1546a09-8315-443d-adb8-738a1999b6fd
Surfacesharp_degraded:UFC
Posted2026-05-09 23:25 UTC
Gradedpending
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash922851b5b53e616abaf28a1d3b6dada76ab081e7c47067298a4641b38557fbf4
Closing line-142 captured 2026-05-09 23:47 UTC
CLV delta+0.00%
Closing hash1f632bfff56c7bf4af3bd35ce919b1d6e1256b69ef6940d789fdc6b4b3c3b3bc
Entertainment, not financial advice. 21+ only. Past performance does not predict future results. If sports betting stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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