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ufcMoneyline.2026-05-09🔒 ProLOCKED db9ffe7f

Pat Sabatini ML

William Gomis @ Pat Sabatini

-162PENDING
Bet onDKFDMGMCZRESPNRVRSFANHR

Stake

1u

Odds

-162

Closing

-170

CLV

+1.83%

Source

AI

Why this pick4 factors · locked at post time
Edge

Pre-tip moneyline favorite, line-shopped to best of 13 US books (chosen book: betonlineag)

Signal

Lineup-gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)

Context

UFC Tracked Pick · single-game pre-commit · v0 stub model (ref: 366cf9)

Risk

sharp-stub-v0 picks the moneyline favorite at fire time. The juice on favorites prices the raw hit rate; net edge after juice is unproven on this small sample. **No edge claim. Track, don't tail.** Public record at nuropicks.com/record.

CLV math

Posted
-162
1.6173
Closing
-170
1.5882
Delta
+1.83%
posted/closing - 1

Positive CLV means we beat the closing number. Leading indicator the model and timing edge are real.

Audit trail

Pick ID#619
UUID9df8e5eb-627b-4010-8a9c-7ca8b48a0f43
Surfacesharp_degraded:UFC
Posted2026-05-09 21:55 UTC
Gradedpending
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hashdb9ffe7f19b9510d368f1e8da5730723241b96e519b8950c8e5fdfb5adc73da3
Closing line-170 captured 2026-05-09 22:15 UTC
CLV delta+1.83%
Closing hash0a95e73195a6846285ca67c6e4b48e3843f216842f7c4853714e34bdc2cce128
Entertainment, not financial advice. 21+ only. Past performance does not predict future results. If sports betting stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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