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ufcMoneyline.2026-05-10LOCKED 0d10b40a

Ateba Gautier ML

Ozzy Diaz @ Ateba Gautier

-1100PENDING
Bet onDKFDMGMCZRESPNRVRSFANHR

Stake

1u

Odds

-1100

Closing

-1200

CLV

+0.70%

Source

AI

Why this pick4 factors · locked at post time
Edge

Pre-tip moneyline favorite, line-shopped to best of 13 US books (chosen book: draftkings)

Signal

Lineup-gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)

Context

UFC Tracked Pick · single-game pre-commit · v0 stub model

Risk

sharp-stub-v0 picks the moneyline favorite at fire time. The juice on favorites prices the raw hit rate; net edge after juice is unproven on this small sample. **No edge claim. Track, don't tail.** Public record at nuropicks.com/record.

CLV math

Posted
-1100
1.0909
Closing
-1200
1.0833
Delta
+0.70%
posted/closing - 1

Positive CLV means we beat the closing number. Leading indicator the model and timing edge are real.

Audit trail

Pick ID#643
UUID04583c15-3087-4e66-b4dc-9321c0a724a0
Surfacesharp_degraded:UFC
Posted2026-05-10 00:25 UTC
Gradedpending
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash0d10b40ac466f092d8778dacaa2b9cca2bd6383dc5f5d2854b421b20f3b800e1
Closing line-1200 captured 2026-05-10 00:45 UTC
CLV delta+0.70%
Closing hashc283999f12c2c1b0eb5397954adb91d68c6cb5c0d1e2ceb3811a829d47db76fb
Entertainment, not financial advice. 21+ only. Past performance does not predict future results. If sports betting stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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