Skip to main content
NuroPicksAlpha
Today···Model 30d···0 LIVE
start
← back to record
mlbAlt PlayerProp.2026-09-02🔒Pro◆◆◆◆◇Nuro Edge 8.0LOCKED f5fac34b

Cam Smith Under 0.5 batter_singles

Chicago White Sox @ Houston Astros

-175risk0.22u→win0.13u
LOSS
ESPN box score →

Stake

0.22u

Odds

-175

Closing

-160

CLV

-3.30%

Source

AI

Why this pick4 factors · locked at post time
Edge

Empirical 100.0% over last 15 games vs 63.6% implied → +35.8pt EV.

Signal

Lineup gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)

Context

MLB player-prop alt surface, over-side EV-gated (betmgm)

Risk

Empirical-only model on last 15 games; opp + park adjustments not modeled. CLV-tracked. Kelly-sized at 0.25. · elite-gate: n=0 < min 30

Final · Grading detail
Chicago White Sox0
Houston Astros2
Winner: Houston Astros · 2026-09-02
Model Record (30d)
prop-edge-v2-devig-mktTrailing 30-day window
Picks
8
Settled
8
Hit rate
62.5%
5-3
ROI
-1.34%
-0.02u
CLV avg
+0.02%
n=8
Last 20 settled · cumulative units
ProvisionalProvisional sample (8 settled). Below the 500-pick verification gate — treat ROI as directional, not proof of edge.
Related Picks (20)

CLV math

Posted
-175
1.5714
Closing
-160
1.6250
Delta
-3.30%
posted/closing - 1

Market closed tighter than where we shipped. One pick is noise; the trend at /record tells the story.

Audit trail

Pick ID#6611
UUID0244617c-e973-4d49-8ed2-7dfae43b45cd
Surfaceprop-slate-daily
Posted2026-09-02 14:41 UTC
Graded2026-09-03 06:17 UTC
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hashf5fac34bf6bd958051da07aff8c622fd20ef28010fbfea3d0f47d3c374104bb1
Closing line-160 captured 2026-09-02 22:53 UTC
CLV delta-3.30%
Closing hash8ba76782a083c95d32cf7e5d67a07ce74080ad40a942c2af23558ccb6752276c

Share this receipt

Post to X 

Why this receipt is trustable

  • Append-only ledger87.5% hashed
    1,136 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
  • Graded against close61.7% closed
    1,118 settled picks · 61.7% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
  • Every pick public18 pending
    Wins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
Entertainment, not financial advice. 21+ only. Past performance does not predict future results. If sports betting stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Must be 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. NJ/PA: 1-800-GAMBLER · MI: 1-800-270-7117 · VA: 1-888-532-3500 · CO: 1-800-522-4700 · NY: 877-846-7369 (HOPENY).

NuroPicks LLC · 30 N Gould St Ste R, Sheridan, WY 82801