Skip to main content
NuroPicksAlpha
Today···Model 30d···0 LIVE
start
← back to record
wnbaMoneyline.2026-05-10🔒Pro◆◆◆◆◇Nuro Edge 8.0LOCKED 9da00dc7

New York Liberty ML

New York Liberty @ Washington Mystics

-230risk1u→win0.43u
WIN
ESPN box score →

Stake

1u

Odds

-230

Closing

-230

CLV

0.00%

Source

AI

Why this pick4 factors · locked at post time
Edge

Pre-tip moneyline favorite, line-shopped to best of 13 US books (chosen book: draftkings)

Signal

Lineup-gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)

Context

WNBA Tracked Pick · single-game pre-commit · v0 stub model

Risk

sharp-stub-v0 picks the moneyline favorite at fire time. The juice on favorites prices the raw hit rate; net edge after juice is unproven on this small sample. **No edge claim. Track, don't tail.** Public record at nuropicks.com/record.

Game context

Context signals

  • 🎯 **Why this favorite?** New York Liberty priced at **69.7% implied** to win — book's read on every input (lineups, splits, weather, totals) compressed into one number. Bot's heuristic: take the favorite when the line is firm. Hit-rate over a long sample beats no-edge baseline net of juice.
  • 📈 **Best of 13 books** ➊ DRAFTKINGS -230 ➋ BOVADA -230 ➌ FANDUEL -235
  • 📊 **Last 5** <:tm_wnba_wsh:1502044564280840243> WSH: 2-1 (WWL) <:tm_wnba_ny:1502044556814717062> NY: 2-1 (WWL)

Line movement

-230-2300.00 dec
Related Picks (18)

CLV math

Posted
-230
1.4348
Closing
-230
1.4348
Delta
0.00%
posted/closing - 1

Positive CLV means we beat the closing number. Leading indicator the model and timing edge are real.

Audit trail

Pick ID#668
UUID802e3f69-9259-42d1-9159-961366ddd9d1
Surfacesharp_degraded:WNBA
Posted2026-05-10 18:30 UTC
Graded2026-05-10 21:47 UTC
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash9da00dc744e0e48c4d6fc8322693423ea9a755dcde08897fd00e3cc9b353c262
Closing line-230 captured 2026-05-10 19:01 UTC
CLV delta+0.00%
Closing hashb5fafa170b20b63ce357b7357985e0d9a264937e5e9caa7343e5d0bf6033d7ee

Share this receipt

Post to X 

Why this receipt is trustable

  • Append-only ledger82.7% hashed
    1,255 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
  • Graded against close63.4% closed
    1,243 settled picks · 63.4% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
  • Every pick public12 pending
    Wins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
Entertainment, not financial advice. 21+ only. Past performance does not predict future results. If sports betting stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Must be 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. NJ/PA: 1-800-GAMBLER · MI: 1-800-270-7117 · VA: 1-888-532-3500 · CO: 1-800-522-4700 · NY: 877-846-7369 (HOPENY).

NuroPicks LLC · 30 N Gould St Ste R, Sheridan, WY 82801