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wnbaMoneyline.2026-05-10🔒Pro◆◆◆◆◇Nuro Edge 8.0LOCKED 1a6e88f4

Connecticut Sun ML

Seattle Storm @ Connecticut Sun

-120risk1u→win0.83u
LOSS
ESPN box score →

Stake

1u

Odds

-120

Closing

-120

CLV

0.00%

Source

AI

Why this pick4 factors · locked at post time
Edge

Pre-tip moneyline favorite, line-shopped to best of 13 US books (chosen book: bovada)

Signal

Lineup-gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)

Context

WNBA Tracked Pick · single-game pre-commit · v0 stub model

Risk

sharp-stub-v0 picks the moneyline favorite at fire time. The juice on favorites prices the raw hit rate; net edge after juice is unproven on this small sample. **No edge claim. Track, don't tail.** Public record at nuropicks.com/record.

Game context

Context signals

  • 🎯 **Why this favorite?** Connecticut Sun priced at **54.5% implied** to win — book's read on every input (lineups, splits, weather, totals) compressed into one number. Bot's heuristic: take the favorite when the line is firm. Hit-rate over a long sample beats no-edge baseline net of juice.
  • 📈 **Best of 13 books** ➊ BOVADA -120 ➋ FANATICS -130 ➌ BETRIVERS -132
  • 📊 **Last 5** 🏠 CON: 1-2 (LLW) <:tm_wnba_sea:1502044560757493781> SEA: 1-2 (LWL)

Line movement

-120-1200.00 dec
Related Picks (18)

CLV math

Posted
-120
1.8333
Closing
-120
1.8333
Delta
0.00%
posted/closing - 1

Positive CLV means we beat the closing number. Leading indicator the model and timing edge are real.

Audit trail

Pick ID#664
UUIDb48c35cd-b579-47e5-840b-fb77c3514c89
Surfacesharp_degraded:WNBA
Posted2026-05-10 16:30 UTC
Graded2026-05-10 19:27 UTC
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash1a6e88f466164cab08a12c922ac1ea73a966b7e2b26822daccb03101da134e81
Closing line-120 captured 2026-05-10 17:00 UTC
CLV delta+0.00%
Closing hash90e59d42489ed1fe3e593ce5ed6442c48ad2db86d6ca86cb40f2e9b90eb5dd27

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Why this receipt is trustable

  • Append-only ledger82.7% hashed
    1,255 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
  • Graded against close63.4% closed
    1,243 settled picks · 63.4% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
  • Every pick public12 pending
    Wins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
Entertainment, not financial advice. 21+ only. Past performance does not predict future results. If sports betting stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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