Friendly alt under at 71.0% implied (target 70%), trades payout for hit rate. Side rationale: neutral vegas band, both rungs tied at 71.0% — Under wins on vig-asymmetry research.

Signal

Same lineup gate as ML

Context

WNBA alt-total surface, under-side at friendly rung (ref: af5fdf)

Risk

Alt-line heuristic. No model fair-line; we're buying probability, not edge. Track CLV vs. mainline closing.

◢Related Picks (18)

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Pick ID#666

UUID95ba881f-09f1-4209-854a-124709f1c47c

Surfacesharp_degraded:WNBA

Posted2026-05-10 16:30 UTC

Graded2026-05-10 19:37 UTC

ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger

Opening hasha4a2e1a35425f5b7cc472474b502666305509008fe5cfc8620ed886f57f44a27

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Append-only ledger82.7% hashed
1,255 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
Graded against close63.4% closed
1,243 settled picks · 63.4% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
Every pick public12 pending
Wins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.

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Same team (7d)

Same model

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