Cincinnati Reds +1
Washington Nationals @ Cincinnati Reds
Edge
Friendly alt spread at 71.5% implied (target 70%), trades payout for hit rate. Side rationale: ML favorite Cincinnati Reds → home spread.
Signal
Same lineup gate as ML
Context
MLB alt-spread surface, home-side at friendly rung (ref: 59a932)
Risk
Alt-line heuristic. No model fair-line; we're buying probability, not edge. Track CLV vs. mainline closing.
Audit trail
Pick ID#722
UUID24427eb3-165a-419c-a4e1-119c17869484
Surfacesharp:MLB
Posted2026-05-13 21:26 UTC
Graded2026-05-14 02:05 UTC
Lineup confirmmlb:824519:2026-05-13T22:40:00Z
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hashd7d09f3c0e9f2320a2741c76df4fe994cb2f2025f73f5e754d68e2d973a03198
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