Minnesota United FC +0.25
Colorado Rapids @ Minnesota United FC
Edge
Friendly alt spread at 78.9% implied (target 70%), trades payout for hit rate. Side rationale: ML favorite Minnesota United FC → home spread.
Signal
Same lineup gate as ML
Context
MLS alt-spread surface, home-side at friendly rung
Risk
Alt-line heuristic. No model fair-line; we're buying probability, not edge. Track CLV vs. mainline closing. · elite-gate: n=15 < min 30
Audit trail
Pick ID#732
UUIDb1c82017-af1d-4b5d-97a4-9029e71d369b
Surfacesharp_degraded:MLS
Posted2026-05-14 00:00 UTC
Graded2026-05-14 02:40 UTC
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash9d696dfb929e4180093551f4d5df9d71e18cbec1e0cef8a0c2295ddc0a821617
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