Over 1.5
Colorado Rapids @ Minnesota United FC
Edge
Friendly alt over at 84.6% implied (target 70%), trades payout for hit rate. Side rationale: vegas total 3.5 ≥ 3.5 (high-scoring band) → over.
Signal
Same lineup gate as ML
Context
MLS alt-total surface, over-side at friendly rung
Risk
Alt-line heuristic. No model fair-line; we're buying probability, not edge. Track CLV vs. mainline closing. · elite-gate: n=15 < min 30
Audit trail
Pick ID#733
UUID95eea2d0-ee00-4ffb-9e25-27b025bc6a8c
Surfacesharp_degraded:MLS
Posted2026-05-14 00:00 UTC
Graded2026-05-14 02:45 UTC
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash0264b33ee0b9bfabd3aa2525b6b55965355bda5aab7e86c0b18a27d5a8d955ab
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