Skip to main content
NuroPicksAlpha
Today···Model 30d···0 LIVE
start
← back to record
mlbAlt PlayerProp.2026-09-06🔒Pro◆◆◆◆◇Nuro Edge 8.0LOCKED 8ab41a9e

Kaelen Culpepper Over 0.5 Hits

Minnesota Twins @ Chicago White Sox

-164risk0.12u→win0.07u
LOSS
ESPN box score →

Stake

0.12u

Odds

-164

Closing

-176

CLV

+2.65%

Source

AI

Why this pick4 factors · locked at post time
Edge

Empirical 80.8% over last 15 games vs 62.1% implied → +18.7pt EV.

Signal

Lineup gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)

Context

MLB player-prop alt surface, over-side EV-gated (bovada)

Risk

Empirical-only model on last 15 games; opp + park adjustments not modeled. CLV-tracked. Kelly-sized at 0.25. · elite-gate: n=0 < min 30

Final · Grading detail
Minnesota Twins1
Chicago White Sox10
Winner: Chicago White Sox · 2026-09-06
Model Record (30d)
prop-edge-v2-handed-fallback-parkTrailing 30-day window
Picks
22
Settled
22
Hit rate
60.0%
12-8
ROI
-5.88%
-0.18u
CLV avg
+1.25%
n=19
Last 20 settled · cumulative units
ProvisionalProvisional sample (22 settled). Below the 500-pick verification gate — treat ROI as directional, not proof of edge.
Related Picks (20)

CLV math

Posted
-164
1.6098
Closing
-176
1.5682
Delta
+2.65%
posted/closing - 1

Positive CLV means we beat the closing number. Leading indicator the model and timing edge are real.

Audit trail

Pick ID#7866
UUIDf8801721-1d9f-40fc-8cd9-af9f5808333a
Surfaceprop-slate-daily
Posted2026-09-06 14:11 UTC
Graded2026-09-07 02:15 UTC
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash8ab41a9e13783caf1a22a7bb55f5c616ba115da21362879a8a034d647032bf61
Closing line-176 captured 2026-09-06 20:53 UTC
CLV delta+2.65%
Closing hash70c599480e3e5a874c9c9561fa42d857d088a0d273d1a6ae2154d17e9687aba9

Share this receipt

Post to X 

Why this receipt is trustable

  • Append-only ledger87.5% hashed
    1,136 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
  • Graded against close61.8% closed
    1,118 settled picks · 61.8% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
  • Every pick public18 pending
    Wins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
Entertainment, not financial advice. 21+ only. Past performance does not predict future results. If sports betting stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Must be 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. NJ/PA: 1-800-GAMBLER · MI: 1-800-270-7117 · VA: 1-888-532-3500 · CO: 1-800-522-4700 · NY: 877-846-7369 (HOPENY).

NuroPicks LLC · 30 N Gould St Ste R, Sheridan, WY 82801