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mlbAlt PlayerProp.2026-06-12🔒Pro◆◆◆◆◇Nuro Edge 8.0LOCKED b8c5b4d6

Chase Meidroth Over 0.5 Hits

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Chicago White Sox

-175risk0.21u→win0.12u
WIN
ESPN box score →

Stake

0.21u

Odds

-175

Closing

-165

CLV

-2.16%

Source

AI

Why this pick4 factors · locked at post time
Edge

Empirical 94.3% over last 15 games vs 63.6% implied → +30.6pt EV.

Signal

Lineup gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)

Context

MLB player-prop alt surface, over-side EV-gated (betmgm)

Risk

Empirical-only model on last 15 games; opp + park adjustments not modeled. CLV-tracked. Kelly-sized at 0.25. · elite-gate: roi=-7.5% < min 0%

Final · Grading detail
Los Angeles Dodgers2
Chicago White Sox8
Winner: Chicago White Sox · 2026-06-12
Model Record (30d)
prop-edge-v2-handed-fallback-parkTrailing 30-day window
Picks
22
Settled
22
Hit rate
60.0%
12-8
ROI
-5.88%
-0.18u
CLV avg
+1.25%
n=19
Last 20 settled · cumulative units
ProvisionalProvisional sample (22 settled). Below the 500-pick verification gate — treat ROI as directional, not proof of edge.
Related Picks (20)

CLV math

Posted
-175
1.5714
Closing
-165
1.6061
Delta
-2.16%
posted/closing - 1

Market closed tighter than where we shipped. One pick is noise; the trend at /record tells the story.

Audit trail

Pick ID#1142
UUIDd4650dbd-cc79-44f0-a4a9-5734793d406c
Surfaceprop-slate-daily
Posted2026-06-12 20:33 UTC
Graded2026-06-13 03:05 UTC
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hashb8c5b4d606eb658783c6f8dc10cb36eda847baacd51abb8aa856d80c221b5fc9
Closing line-165 captured 2026-06-12 22:11 UTC
CLV delta-2.16%
Closing hash254a7b716701ef014fdadba6bc6329458fae847b3621747ba2f677cc295fccd3

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Why this receipt is trustable

  • Append-only ledger87.4% hashed
    1,137 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
  • Graded against close62.0% closed
    1,123 settled picks · 62.0% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
  • Every pick public14 pending
    Wins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
Entertainment, not financial advice. 21+ only. Past performance does not predict future results. If sports betting stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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