/ Daily Fact-Check

2026-09-09 (1-0)

Every pick we fired for games on this ET calendar day. Each card links straight to ESPN's box score so you can confirm the final score yourself. Settled by espn-grader within ~5 minutes of the game ending; no manual override.

Crowned · Pick of the DayMLB · ANNOUNCED 11:02 AM ET

Padres ML -190

Washington Nationals @ San Diego Padres

Why crowned: the single highest-conviction moneyline on today's board — the market prices Padres at a 34.5% implied win probability at -190, the best edge-to-price on the slate when it was crowned.

Tipoff: Wed, Sep 9, 4:10 PMWin prob: 34.5%Open the full slate →

Picks

12

Settled

1

11 pending

Wins

1

Losses

0

Hit %

100.0%

PRO

MLBWIN

Dillon Dingler

TWI vs TIG

ALT LINE

Dillon Dingler Under 1.5 Total Bases

0 / 1.5 TB✓

-170

0.15uView →

CLOSE -170CLV +0.00%Verify on ESPN →

FREE

MLB1:10 PMPENDING

MLB

PARLAY

3-Leg Parlay (3 legs) +301

+301

MLB Luis Arraez Under 0.5 Runs Scored-176

MLB T.J. Rumfield Over 0.5 Hits-164

MLB Dillon Dingler Under 1.5 Total Bases-170

0.50uView →

CLOSE —CLV —Verify on ESPN →

MONEYLINE

Texas Rangers ML

+140

2.0uView →

CLOSE +112CLV +13.21%Verify on ESPN →

PRO

MLB6:40 PMPENDING

Luis Arraez

AST vs PHI

ALT LINE

Luis Arraez Under 0.5 Runs Scored

▼ 0.5

-176

0.12uView →

CLOSE -176CLV +0.00%Verify on ESPN →

PRO

MLB6:40 PMPENDING

Brandon Marsh

AST vs PHI

ALT LINE

Brandon Marsh Under 0.5 Runs Scored

▼ 0.5

-175

0.12uView →

CLOSE -193CLV +3.51%Verify on ESPN →

MONEYLINE

LA Angels ML

+177

2.0uView →

CLOSE —CLV —Verify on ESPN →

MONEYLINE

Colorado Rockies ML

+201

2.0uView →

CLOSE —CLV —Verify on ESPN →

PRO

MLB7:05 PMPENDING

T.J. Rumfield

ROC vs YAN

ALT LINE

T.J. Rumfield Over 0.5 Hits

▲ 0.5 H

-164

0.16uView →

CLOSE —CLV —Verify on ESPN →

PRO

MLB7:15 PMPENDING

Richie Palacios

RAY vs BRA

ALT LINE

Richie Palacios Under 0.5 batter_singles

▼ 0.5

-175

0.12uView →

CLOSE —CLV —Verify on ESPN →

MONEYLINE

Cincinnati Reds ML

+238

2.0uView →

CLOSE —CLV —Verify on ESPN →

MONEYLINE

Cincinnati Reds ML

+250

2.0uView →

CLOSE —CLV —Verify on ESPN →

FREE

MLB10:11 PMPENDING

RUNRUN

MONEYLINE

Away Total Runs ML

+165

2.0uView →

CLOSE —CLV —Verify on ESPN →

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How we grade: ESPN publishes final scores for every NBA / NHL / MLB / NFL game we track. Our espn-graderservice polls ESPN's public summary API every 5 minutes, reads the final score and winner straight off header.competitions[].competitors[], then writes win / loss / push / void back into our picks table. Click any ESPN box score link above to confirm the score yourself. Disagreements should never happen; if you find one, tell us and we'll fix it on the spot.

Still armed for tonight (30)

Today's scheduler. Refresh once these timestamps pass and the picks will land in the table above.

Fire at (ET)	Kind
Sep 9, 5:30 PM	dm-failure-monitor-tick
Sep 9, 5:30 PM	prop-grader-tick
Sep 9, 5:30 PM	stuck-pending-picks-monitor-tick
Sep 9, 5:30 PM	parlay-grader-tick
Sep 9, 5:30 PM	pipeline-pulse-tick
Sep 9, 5:33 PM	fade-alert-tick
Sep 9, 5:34 PM	live-edge-autofire-tick
Sep 9, 5:34 PM	live-edge-autofire-tick
Sep 9, 5:35 PM	series-auto-grade-tick
Sep 9, 5:38 PM	book-ids-backfill-tick
Sep 9, 5:38 PM	research-drip-tick
Sep 9, 5:39 PM	fade-alert-tick
Sep 9, 5:44 PM	book-ids-backfill-tick
Sep 9, 5:44 PM	research-drip-tick
Sep 9, 5:44 PM	series-tipoff-tick
Sep 9, 5:47 PM	sticky-slate-pin-tick
Sep 9, 6:00 PM	most-tailed-game-tick
Sep 9, 6:00 PM	series-digest-tick
Sep 9, 6:00 PM	bankroll-leaderboard-tick
Sep 9, 6:00 PM	box-log-freshness-monitor-tick
Sep 9, 6:00 PM	book-dropout-monitor-tick
Sep 9, 6:05 PM	sharp-potd-watchdog
Sep 9, 6:10 PM	sharp-potd-watchdog
Sep 9, 6:10 PM	sharp-potd-watchdog
Sep 9, 6:10 PM	sharp-potd-watchdog
Sep 9, 6:20 PM	prop-slate-tick
Sep 9, 6:35 PM	prop-slate-digest-tick
Sep 9, 6:50 PM	tier-empty-announcer-tick
Sep 9, 6:50 PM	sharp-potd-primary
Sep 9, 6:53 PM	tier-channel-topic-tick

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