/ Daily Fact-Check

2026-09-22 (8-9)

Every pick we fired for games on this ET calendar day. Each card links straight to ESPN's box score so you can confirm the final score yourself. Settled by espn-grader within ~5 minutes of the game ending; no manual override.

Crowned · Pick of the DayMLB · ANNOUNCED 11:02 AM ET

Detroit Tigers ML -155

Washington Nationals @ Detroit Tigers

Why crowned: the single highest-conviction moneyline on today's board — the market prices Detroit Tigers at a 60.8% implied win probability at -155, the best edge-to-price on the slate when it was crowned.

Tipoff: Tue, Sep 22, 6:40 PMWin prob: 60.8%Open the full slate →

All (24)CROSS-SPORT (MLB + WNBA) (1)MLB (17)NHL (5)WNBA (1)

Picks

17

Settled

17

0 pending

Wins

8

Losses

9

Hit %

47.1%

FREE

MLBLOSS

MLB

PARLAY

MLB High-Floor (10 legs) +301

+301

MLB Michael Harris II Over 0.5 Hits-275

MLB Ozzie Albies Over 0.5 Hits-275

MLB Steven Kwan Over 0.5 Hits-219

MLB Josh Jung Over 0.5 Hits-275

MLB Shea Langeliers Over 0.5 Hits-275

MLB Henry Bolte Over 0.5 Hits-250

MLB Jose Ramirez Over 0.5 Hits-207

MLB Bo Bichette Over 0.5 Hits-250

MLB Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 0.5 Hits-250

MLB Tim Tawa Over 0.5 Hits-250

0.50uView →

CLOSE —CLV —Verify on ESPN →

FREE

MLBLOSS

MLB

PARLAY

MLB High-Floor (10 legs) +307

+307

MLB Michael Harris II Over 0.5 Hits-275

MLB Ozzie Albies Over 0.5 Hits-275

MLB Steven Kwan Over 0.5 Hits-219

MLB Josh Jung Over 0.5 Hits-275

MLB Shea Langeliers Over 0.5 Hits-275

MLB Henry Bolte Over 0.5 Hits-250

MLB Jose Ramirez Over 0.5 Hits-198

MLB Bo Bichette Over 0.5 Hits-250

MLB Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 0.5 Hits-250

MLB Tim Tawa Over 0.5 Hits-250

0.50uView →

CLOSE —CLV —Verify on ESPN →

MONEYLINE

Milwaukee Brewers ML

+119

2.0uView →

CLOSE -136CLV +26.20%Verify on ESPN →

MONEYLINE

Washington Nationals ML

+139

2.0uView →

CLOSE +160CLV -8.08%Verify on ESPN →

PRO

MLBWIN

Jo Adell

GUA vs SOX

ALT LINE

Jo Adell Over 0.5 Hits

1 / 0.5 H✓

-164

0.13uView →

CLOSE -164CLV +0.00%Verify on ESPN →

FREE

MLBLOSS

MLB

PARLAY

6-Leg Parlay (6 legs) +1562

+1562

MLB Cody Bellinger Over 0.5 Hits-179

MLB Jo Adell Over 0.5 Hits-164

MLB Jonathan Aranda Over 0.5 Hits-170

MLB Jose Fernandez Under 1.5 Total Bases-164

MLB Christian Moore Under 0.5 Runs Scored-164

MLB Marcus Semien Over 0.5 Hits-164

0.05uView →

CLOSE +1608CLV -2.69%Verify on ESPN →

MONEYLINE

Tampa Bay Rays ML

+113

2.0uView →

CLOSE +118CLV -2.29%Verify on ESPN →

PRO

MLBLOSS

Jonathan Aranda

RAY vs YAN

ALT LINE

Jonathan Aranda Over 0.5 Hits

0 / 0.5 H✗

-170

0.13uView →

CLOSE -180CLV +2.10%Verify on ESPN →

PRO

MLBLOSS

Cody Bellinger

RAY vs YAN

ALT LINE

Cody Bellinger Over 0.5 Hits

0 / 0.5 H✗

-179

0.17uView →

CLOSE -182CLV +0.59%Verify on ESPN →

MONEYLINE

Miami Marlins ML

+179

2.0uView →

CLOSE +144CLV +14.34%Verify on ESPN →

PRO

MLBLOSS

Marcus Semien

MET vs RAN

ALT LINE

Marcus Semien Over 0.5 Hits

0 / 0.5 H✗

-164

0.13uView →

CLOSE -160CLV -0.94%Verify on ESPN →

PRO

MLBWIN

Jose Fernandez

DIA vs ROC

ALT LINE

Jose Fernandez Under 1.5 Total Bases

0 / 1.5 TB✓

-164

0.22uView →

CLOSE -150CLV -3.41%Verify on ESPN →

MONEYLINE

Houston Astros ML

+119

2.0uView →

CLOSE +112CLV +3.30%Verify on ESPN →

MONEYLINE

LA Angels ML

-108

2.0uView →

CLOSE -130CLV +8.86%Verify on ESPN →

PRO

MLBWIN

Dominic Canzone

AST vs MAR

ALT LINE

Dominic Canzone Over 0.5 Hits

1 / 0.5 H✓

-175

0.18uView →

CLOSE -186CLV +2.20%Verify on ESPN →

PRO

MLBWIN

Christian Moore

ANG vs ATH

ALT LINE

Christian Moore Under 0.5 Runs Scored

0 / 0.5 ✓

-164

0.14uView →

CLOSE -160CLV -0.94%Verify on ESPN →

MONEYLINE

San Francisco Giants ML

+123

2.0uView →

CLOSE +119CLV +1.83%Verify on ESPN →

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How we grade: ESPN publishes final scores for every NBA / NHL / MLB / NFL game we track. Our espn-graderservice polls ESPN's public summary API every 5 minutes, reads the final score and winner straight off header.competitions[].competitors[], then writes win / loss / push / void back into our picks table. Click any ESPN box score link above to confirm the score yourself. Disagreements should never happen; if you find one, tell us and we'll fix it on the spot.

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