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mlbAlt PlayerProp.2026-06-02🔒Pro◆◆◆◆◇Nuro Edge 8.0LOCKED dcc1fdbd

Kazuma Okamoto Over 0.5 Hits

Toronto Blue Jays @ Atlanta Braves

-170risk0.1u→win0.06u
WIN

Stake

0.1u

Odds

-170

Closing

-155

CLV

-3.46%

Source

AI

Why this pick4 factors · locked at post time
Edge

Empirical 85.4% over last 6 games vs 63.0% implied → +9.0pt EV.

Signal

Lineup gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)

Context

MLB player-prop alt surface, over-side EV-gated (fanduel)

Risk

Empirical-only model on last 6 games; opp + park adjustments not modeled. CLV-tracked. Kelly-sized at 0.25. · elite-gate: roi=-7.5% < min 0%

Game context

Context signals

  • +9.0pt EV vs implied
  • Opp ranks #26 vs this prop (-9.9% vs league avg over 275 games)
  • 85.4% over last 6 games

Line movement

-170-155+0.06 dec
Related Picks (20)

CLV math

Posted
-170
1.5882
Closing
-155
1.6452
Delta
-3.46%
posted/closing - 1

Market closed tighter than where we shipped. One pick is noise; the trend at /record tells the story.

Audit trail

Pick ID#1100
UUID2b405705-d47d-4ac1-8d2f-3f9d4d545d4d
Surfaceprop-slate-daily
Posted2026-06-02 20:33 UTC
Graded2026-06-03 03:05 UTC
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hashdcc1fdbd45665e1fd096586fd2fb313a0cc95ef682575c2a9e8d2916897a8b26
Closing line-155 captured 2026-06-02 21:46 UTC
CLV delta-3.46%
Closing hash794a7c6b1ac29df108662f289f6502e1eaaf9483dd92959865cbfbbcfc9324a7

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Why this receipt is trustable

  • Append-only ledger87.4% hashed
    1,137 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
  • Graded against close62.0% closed
    1,123 settled picks · 62.0% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
  • Every pick public14 pending
    Wins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
Entertainment, not financial advice. 21+ only. Past performance does not predict future results. If sports betting stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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