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wnbaAlt PlayerProp.2026-07-12🔒Pro◆◆◆◆◇Nuro Edge 8.0LOCKED 13d6f7f6

Chelsea Gray Over 6.5 Assists

Name: NuroPicks
Availability: InStock
Author: NuroPicks LLC

Indiana Fever @ Las Vegas Aces

-175risk0.1u→win0.06u

LOSS

ESPN box score →

Stake

0.1u

Odds

-175

Closing

-160

CLV

-3.30%

Source

Why this pick4 factors · locked at post time

Edge

Empirical 73.3% over last 15 games vs 63.6% implied → +9.7pt EV.

Signal

Lineup gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)

Context

WNBA player-prop alt surface, over-side EV-gated (draftkings) (ref: 3a2199)

Risk

Empirical-only model on last 15 games; opp + park adjustments not modeled. CLV-tracked. Kelly-sized at 0.25. · elite-gate: n=0 < min 30

⊞Game context

Context signals

+9.7pt EV vs implied
Opp ranks #13 vs this prop (-5.3% vs league avg over 121 games)
73.3% over last 15 games

Line movement

-175-160+0.05 dec

◯Model Record (30d)

prop-edge-v2Trailing 30-day window

Picks

23

Settled

22

Hit rate

63.6%

14-8

ROI

-0.21%

-0.01u

CLV avg

+0.88%

n=22

Last 20 settled · cumulative units

ProvisionalProvisional sample (22 settled). Below the 500-pick verification gate — treat ROI as directional, not proof of edge.

◢Related Picks (15)

Same team (7d)

LChelsea Gray Over 5.5 Assists@ -1702026-08-18 LKelsey Mitchell Over 2.5 3PM@ -1702026-08-16 WChelsea Gray Over 5.5 Assists@ -1702026-08-15 LA'ja Wilson Over 8.5 Rebounds@ -1792026-08-13 WA'ja Wilson Over 8.5 Rebounds@ -1732026-08-11 WKelsey Mitchell Over 2.5 3PM@ -1782026-08-11 WChelsea Gray Over 5.5 Assists@ -1672026-08-08 WKelsey Mitchell Over 2.5 3PM@ -1752026-08-08 LKelsey Mitchell Over 2.5 3PM@ -1792026-08-06 WKelsey Mitchell Over 19.5 Points@ -1922026-08-02

Same model

LRafael Devers Over 0.5 Total Bases@ -1672026-09-08 WCal Raleigh Over 0.5 Hits@ -1672026-09-08 LLawrence Butler Over 0.5 Hits@ -1702026-09-08 WHéctor Rodríguez Over 0.5 Hits@ -1762026-09-07 WHector Rodriguez Over 0.5 Hits@ -1642026-09-07

CLV math

Posted

-175

1.5714

Closing

-160

1.6250

Delta

-3.30%

posted/closing - 1

Market closed tighter than where we shipped. One pick is noise; the trend at /record tells the story.

Audit trail

Pick ID#1409

UUID39c18758-68f2-40f0-aa22-c837e67ab819

Surfaceprop-slate-daily

Posted2026-07-12 20:36 UTC

Graded2026-07-13 04:35 UTC

ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger

Opening hash13d6f7f619b6b5f8794ab69a88a8619fe641ac9bcc6b7cf2fc565d2f982d6e92

Closing line-160 captured 2026-07-12 23:51 UTC

CLV delta-3.30%

Closing hashbe71f5abd49639ed3dc31241aa2e15ec32b738ba9954cc63b6a379203b1c2570

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Why this receipt is trustable

Append-only ledger87.5% hashed
1,136 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
Graded against close61.9% closed
1,119 settled picks · 61.9% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
Every pick public17 pending
Wins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.

Entertainment, not financial advice. 21+ only. Past performance does not predict future results. If sports betting stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Must be 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. NJ/PA: 1-800-GAMBLER · MI: 1-800-270-7117 · VA: 1-888-532-3500 · CO: 1-800-522-4700 · NY: 877-846-7369 (HOPENY).

NuroPicks LLC · 30 N Gould St Ste R, Sheridan, WY 82801