Skip to main content
NuroPicksAlpha
Today···Model 30d···0 LIVE
start
← back to record
mlbAlt PlayerProp.2026-07-17🔒Pro◆◆◆◆◇Nuro Edge 8.0LOCKED 188185b1

Heliot Ramos Over 0.5 Hits

San Francisco Giants @ Seattle Mariners

-175risk0.13u→win0.07uVOIDESPN box score →

Stake

0.13u

Odds

-175

Closing

-148

CLV

-6.22%

Source

AI

Why this pick4 factors · locked at post time
Edge

Empirical 83.2% over last 15 games vs 63.6% implied → +19.6pt EV.

Signal

Lineup gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)

Context

MLB player-prop alt surface, over-side EV-gated (draftkings)

Risk

Empirical-only model on last 15 games; opp + park adjustments not modeled. CLV-tracked. Kelly-sized at 0.25. · elite-gate: n=0 < min 30

Final · Grading detail
San Francisco Giants7
Seattle Mariners0
Winner: San Francisco Giants · 2026-07-17
Model Record (30d)
prop-edge-v2-handed-fallback-parkTrailing 30-day window
Picks
22
Settled
22
Hit rate
60.0%
12-8
ROI
-5.88%
-0.18u
CLV avg
+1.25%
n=19
Last 20 settled · cumulative units
ProvisionalProvisional sample (22 settled). Below the 500-pick verification gate — treat ROI as directional, not proof of edge.
Related Picks (18)

CLV math

Posted
-175
1.5714
Closing
-148
1.6757
Delta
-6.22%
posted/closing - 1

Market closed tighter than where we shipped. One pick is noise; the trend at /record tells the story.

Audit trail

Pick ID#1419
UUID6a53e427-701b-4561-9cf4-84e0ae316538
Surfaceprop-slate-daily
Posted2026-07-17 21:09 UTC
Graded2026-07-18 05:35 UTC
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash188185b15ad4137c80d1bd68eec95cbcbda80b65a7efc639382bae795c026dd6
Closing line-148 captured 2026-07-18 00:54 UTC
CLV delta-6.22%
Closing hash492eff4ef84d49b01d6665bf6160a7a3caf1bb46633577f392072778cdcd4ed2

Share this receipt

Post to X 

Why this receipt is trustable

  • Append-only ledger87.5% hashed
    1,136 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
  • Graded against close61.9% closed
    1,119 settled picks · 61.9% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
  • Every pick public17 pending
    Wins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
Entertainment, not financial advice. 21+ only. Past performance does not predict future results. If sports betting stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Must be 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. NJ/PA: 1-800-GAMBLER · MI: 1-800-270-7117 · VA: 1-888-532-3500 · CO: 1-800-522-4700 · NY: 877-846-7369 (HOPENY).

NuroPicks LLC · 30 N Gould St Ste R, Sheridan, WY 82801