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wnbaAlt PlayerProp.2026-07-29🔒Pro◆◆◆◆◇Nuro Edge 8.0LOCKED d67b170b

Jordin Canada Under 1.5 3PM

Atlanta Dream @ Dallas Wings

-245risk0.1u→win0.04u
WIN
ESPN box score →

Stake

0.1u

Odds

-245

Closing

-275

CLV

+3.27%

Source

AI

Why this pick4 factors · locked at post time
Edge

Empirical 93.3% over last 15 games vs 71.0% implied → +14.7pt EV.

Signal

Lineup gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)

Context

WNBA player-prop alt surface, over-side EV-gated (bovada)

Risk

Empirical-only model on last 15 games; opp + park adjustments not modeled. CLV-tracked. Kelly-sized at 0.25. · elite-gate: n=0 < min 30

Game context

Context signals

  • +14.7pt EV vs implied
  • 93.3% over last 15 games
  • L10 hit-rate: 90% (9/10)

Line movement

-245-275-0.04 dec
Model Record (30d)
prop-edge-v2-devig-mktTrailing 30-day window
Picks
4
Settled
4
Hit rate
75.0%
3-1
ROI
+17.93%
+0.16u
CLV avg
-0.82%
n=4
Last 20 settled · cumulative units
ProvisionalProvisional sample (4 settled). Below the 500-pick verification gate — treat ROI as directional, not proof of edge.
Related Picks (16)

CLV math

Posted
-245
1.4082
Closing
-275
1.3636
Delta
+3.27%
posted/closing - 1

Positive CLV means we beat the closing number. Leading indicator the model and timing edge are real.

Audit trail

Pick ID#1629
UUIDb75fa8b3-c7e2-4c27-a298-208d94c59945
Surfaceprop-slate-daily
Posted2026-07-29 14:15 UTC
Graded2026-07-30 03:15 UTC
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hashd67b170bb56833876b945b76ce57bc1b5ae9d894465f032929a1fcc6b9dda2c4
Closing line-275 captured 2026-07-29 22:44 UTC
CLV delta+3.27%
Closing hash4a819b817a9236de354cc06c263dd0f6f9c0f3d824713db7ccf83b0359b404e2

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Why this receipt is trustable

  • Append-only ledger82.7% hashed
    1,252 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
  • Graded against close63.6% closed
    1,243 settled picks · 63.6% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
  • Every pick public9 pending
    Wins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
Entertainment, not financial advice. 21+ only. Past performance does not predict future results. If sports betting stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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