Cleveland Cavaliers ML
Cleveland Cavaliers @ Toronto Raptors
Edge
Pre-tip moneyline favorite captured at fire time
Signal
Lineup-gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)
Context
NBA Tracked Pick · single-game pre-commit · v0 stub model
Risk
sharp-stub-v0 picks the moneyline favorite at fire time. The juice on favorites prices the raw hit rate; net edge after juice is unproven on this small sample. **No edge claim. Track, don't tail.** Public record at nuropicks.com/record.
Final · Grading detail
Cleveland Cavaliers110
Toronto Raptors112
Winner: Toronto Raptors · 2026-05-01
Related Picks (15)
Same team (7d)
Same model
CLV math
Posted
-205
1.4878
Closing
-198
1.5051
Delta
-1.15%
posted/closing - 1
Market closed tighter than where we shipped. One pick is noise; the trend at /record tells the story.
Audit trail
Pick ID#201
UUID9e029ef3-5e10-4664-96b3-5c6356a2217b
Surfacesharp:NBA
Posted2026-05-01 23:10 UTC
Graded2026-05-02 02:34 UTC
Lineup confirmnba:proximity:2026-05-01T23:40:00.000Z
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash343488b5d148e39eb10c9f3c904026f5e85d792afe7212bedeb4cba0fa97eef4
Closing line-198 captured 2026-05-01 23:41 UTC
CLV delta-1.15%
Closing hash337171ec088bc46aaf6a2575c88039ec9091758ff3875c3a3163c3d34930b22f
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Why this receipt is trustable
- Append-only ledger82.7% hashed1,255 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
- Graded against close63.4% closed1,243 settled picks · 63.4% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
- Every pick public12 pendingWins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
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