Skip to main content
NuroPicksAlpha
Today···Model 30d···0 LIVE
start
← back to record
wnbaAlt PlayerProp.2026-08-02🔒Pro◆◆◆◆◇Nuro Edge 8.0LOCKED 36afe124

Janelle Salaun Over 1.5 3PM

TOR Tempo @ Golden State Valkyries

-207risk0.1u→win0.05u
WIN
ESPN box score →

Stake

0.1u

Odds

-207

Closing

-208

CLV

+0.16%

Source

AI

Why this pick4 factors · locked at post time
Edge

Empirical 80.0% over last 15 games vs 67.4% implied → +12.6pt EV.

Signal

Lineup gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)

Context

WNBA player-prop alt surface, over-side EV-gated (draftkings)

Risk

Empirical-only model on last 15 games; opp + park adjustments not modeled. CLV-tracked. Kelly-sized at 0.25. · elite-gate: n=0 < min 30

Game context

Context signals

  • +12.6pt EV vs implied
  • Opp ranks #16 vs this prop (-18.3% vs league avg over 68 games)
  • 80.0% over last 15 games

Line movement

-207-208-0.00 dec
Model Record (30d)
prop-edge-v2Trailing 30-day window
Picks
23
Settled
23
Hit rate
60.9%
14-9
ROI
-4.96%
-0.17u
CLV avg
+0.96%
n=23
Last 20 settled · cumulative units
ProvisionalProvisional sample (23 settled). Below the 500-pick verification gate — treat ROI as directional, not proof of edge.
Related Picks (17)

CLV math

Posted
-207
1.4831
Closing
-208
1.4808
Delta
+0.16%
posted/closing - 1

Positive CLV means we beat the closing number. Leading indicator the model and timing edge are real.

Audit trail

Pick ID#1722
UUID27f77b08-77f3-4e7e-9666-9cbb2d4ed61e
Surfaceprop-slate-daily
Posted2026-08-02 21:05 UTC
Graded2026-08-03 04:05 UTC
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash36afe12467abfa0f20ee2e45f8daf2ae959aa28fd3744fe911e73fb971e33f65
Closing line-208 captured 2026-08-02 23:20 UTC
CLV delta+0.16%
Closing hashf4d5924477bd0a7034ef87d7b61e1f0ddb8fc264a1ba5fdf85e1b94f8e32b4b9

Share this receipt

Post to X 

Why this receipt is trustable

  • Append-only ledger87.4% hashed
    1,137 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
  • Graded against close62.0% closed
    1,123 settled picks · 62.0% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
  • Every pick public14 pending
    Wins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
Entertainment, not financial advice. 21+ only. Past performance does not predict future results. If sports betting stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Must be 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. NJ/PA: 1-800-GAMBLER · MI: 1-800-270-7117 · VA: 1-888-532-3500 · CO: 1-800-522-4700 · NY: 877-846-7369 (HOPENY).

NuroPicks LLC · 30 N Gould St Ste R, Sheridan, WY 82801