New York Mets ML
New York Mets @ Colorado Rockies
Edge
Pre-tip moneyline favorite captured at fire time
Signal
Lineup-gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)
Context
MLB Tracked Pick · single-game pre-commit · v0 stub model
Risk
sharp-stub-v0 picks the moneyline favorite at fire time. The juice on favorites prices the raw hit rate; net edge after juice is unproven on this small sample. **No edge claim. Track, don't tail.** Public record at nuropicks.com/record.
Final · Grading detail
New York Mets4
Colorado Rockies2
Winner: New York Mets · 2026-05-04
Related Picks (15)
Same team (7d)
Same model
CLV math
Posted
-144
1.6944
Closing
-143
1.6993
Delta
-0.29%
posted/closing - 1
Market closed tighter than where we shipped. One pick is noise; the trend at /record tells the story.
Audit trail
Pick ID#423
UUIDd4ae25b4-a034-45b0-8775-c968ab3825ed
Surfacesharp:MLB
Posted2026-05-04 20:26 UTC
Graded2026-05-05 00:00 UTC
Lineup confirmmlb:824363:2026-05-04T21:40:00Z
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash5b3009d0946dde49b1aab21f18ca220bf9b7f937561a6665a124b76ea19dd42b
Closing line-143 captured 2026-05-04 21:42 UTC
CLV delta-0.29%
Closing hash336b5656491cde24f643a03ede6f9ee847ef7f3899020a2ccf885a300e5dfedf
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Why this receipt is trustable
- Append-only ledger82.7% hashed1,255 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
- Graded against close63.4% closed1,243 settled picks · 63.4% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
- Every pick public12 pendingWins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
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