Nico Hoerner Over 0.5 Hits
Cincinnati Reds @ Chicago Cubs
-275WIN
Why we made this pick
EDGEFriendly alt prop at 73.3% implied (target 70%) — trades payout for hit rate.
SIGNALLineup gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)
CONTEXTMLB player-prop alt surface, over-side at friendly rung (betmgm)
RISKAlt-line heuristic. No model fair-line; we're buying probability, not edge. Track CLV vs. mainline closing.
Audit trail
Pick ID#466
UUID644f56c6-a888-4590-8ff3-db383661fb02
Surfaceprop-slate-daily
Posted2026-05-05 23:24 UTC
Graded2026-05-05 23:42 UTC
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hashba1cf133377808eac0338b0d23994b6320ece60cc57e9a6932e9b441f5783ca9
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