Ketel Marte Over 0.5 Hits
Pittsburgh Pirates @ Arizona Diamondbacks
-234risk1u→win0.43u
WIN
Edge
Friendly alt prop at 70.1% implied (target 70%) — trades payout for hit rate.
Signal
Lineup gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)
Context
MLB player-prop alt surface, over-side at friendly rung (draftkings)
Risk
Alt-line heuristic. No model fair-line; we're buying probability, not edge. Track CLV vs. mainline closing.
Related Picks (20)
Same slate
Same team (7d)
Same model
Audit trail
Pick ID#470
UUID93e55e14-95c9-4685-bbf6-2b154c62c008
Surfaceprop-slate-daily
Posted2026-05-05 23:24 UTC
Graded2026-05-06 04:17 UTC
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash0ff157d5ec5b6a85cd117f03000c5ea4263f121b0004735d30a8f51e79ebfd39
Share this receipt
Why this receipt is trustable
- Append-only ledger82.7% hashed1,255 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
- Graded against close63.4% closed1,243 settled picks · 63.4% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
- Every pick public12 pendingWins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
Entertainment, not financial advice. 21+ only. Past performance does not predict future results. If sports betting stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Must be 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. NJ/PA: 1-800-GAMBLER · MI: 1-800-270-7117 · VA: 1-888-532-3500 · CO: 1-800-522-4700 · NY: 877-846-7369 (HOPENY).
NuroPicks LLC · 30 N Gould St Ste R, Sheridan, WY 82801