Buffalo Sabres ML
Montréal Canadiens @ Buffalo Sabres
Why we made this pick
EDGEPre-tip moneyline favorite, line-shopped to best of 13 US books (chosen book: betmgm)
SIGNALLineup-gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)
CONTEXTNHL Tracked Pick · single-game pre-commit · v0 stub model
RISKsharp-stub-v0 picks the moneyline favorite at fire time. The juice on favorites prices the raw hit rate; net edge after juice is unproven on this small sample. **No edge claim. Track, don't tail.** Public record at nuropicks.com/record.
CLV math
Posted
-135
1.7407
Closing
-142
1.7042
Delta
+2.14%
posted/closing - 1
Positive CLV means we beat the closing number. Leading indicator the model and timing edge are real.
Audit trail
Pick ID#497
UUID2daa21d0-760f-43b9-a15e-3ea7ceccf83e
Surfacesharp:NHL
Posted2026-05-06 22:40 UTC
Gradedpending
Lineup confirmnhl:proximity:2026-05-06T23:10:36.000Z
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash1085b6f59a8c1b70f4940dbc9fc93a9c5150dfe06b4bf7726343e3b518ebacb8
Closing line-142 captured 2026-05-06 23:12 UTC
CLV delta+2.14%
Closing hashae4314c5be1c052fc8eed7e9ef110b7d479c70d339f8166f1d131f674d965a26
Entertainment, not financial advice. 21+ only. Past performance does not predict future results. If sports betting stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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