Tomas Hertl Over 1.5 SOG
Anaheim Ducks @ Vegas Golden Knights
-235risk1u→win0.43u
LOSS
Edge
Friendly alt prop at 70.1% implied (target 70%) — trades payout for hit rate.
Signal
Lineup gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)
Context
NHL player-prop alt surface, over-side at friendly rung (fanduel)
Risk
Alt-line heuristic. No model fair-line; we're buying probability, not edge. Track CLV vs. mainline closing.
Related Picks (19)
Same slate
Same team (7d)
Same model
Audit trail
Pick ID#475
UUID0eeab221-1274-45d7-9169-e382c4162294
Surfaceprop-slate-daily
Posted2026-05-05 23:24 UTC
Graded2026-05-07 06:04 UTC
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hashcd26a386d4d771bfc27ae73fd296e8f5da113a04946a05b8b9b8a27b0908d07d
Share this receipt
Why this receipt is trustable
- Append-only ledger95.6% hashed990 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
- Graded against close58.4% closed986 settled picks · 58.4% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
- Every pick public4 pendingWins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
Entertainment, not financial advice. 21+ only. Past performance does not predict future results. If sports betting stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Must be 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. NJ/PA: 1-800-GAMBLER · MI: 1-800-270-7117 · VA: 1-888-532-3500 · CO: 1-800-522-4700 · NY: 877-846-7369 (HOPENY).
NuroPicks LLC · 30 N Gould St Ste R, Sheridan, WY 82801