Jack Quinn Over 1.5 SOG
Montréal Canadiens @ Buffalo Sabres
-235risk1u→win0.43u
LOSS
Edge
Friendly alt prop at 70.1% implied (target 70%) — trades payout for hit rate.
Signal
Lineup gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)
Context
NHL player-prop alt surface, over-side at friendly rung (fanduel) (ref: f8df8a)
Risk
Alt-line heuristic. No model fair-line; we're buying probability, not edge. Track CLV vs. mainline closing.
Related Picks (19)
Same slate
Same team (7d)
Same model
Audit trail
Pick ID#474
UUID99d3d51b-0e5d-4f1e-869e-ca216b673a43
Surfaceprop-slate-daily
Posted2026-05-05 23:24 UTC
Graded2026-05-07 05:15 UTC
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash9180825e7ff68ad1f77f5ba89c3742f6bc2cf93425d90b5cc5ff46cd03015f4a
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Why this receipt is trustable
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