Cleveland Guardians +2
Minnesota Twins @ Cleveland Guardians
Edge
Friendly alt spread at 73.5% implied (target 70%), trades payout for hit rate.
Signal
Same lineup gate as ML
Context
MLB alt-spread surface, home-side at friendly rung
Risk
Alt-line heuristic. No model fair-line; we're buying probability, not edge. Track CLV vs. mainline closing.
Final · Grading detail
Minnesota Twins2
Cleveland Guardians1
Winner: Minnesota Twins · 2026-05-09
Related Picks (20)
Same slate
Same team (7d)
Same model
Audit trail
Pick ID#621
UUIDd1be946c-5f25-4ee4-9b33-95997d4f539e
Surfacesharp:MLB
Posted2026-05-09 22:11 UTC
Graded2026-05-10 03:50 UTC
Lineup confirmmlb:824444:2026-05-09T22:10:00Z
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash18c94514491ed0301c44b71a8b770d6969cd95e0dead29dc76e1122e0749d9a3
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Why this receipt is trustable
- Append-only ledger82.7% hashed1,255 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
- Graded against close63.4% closed1,243 settled picks · 63.4% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
- Every pick public12 pendingWins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
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