Chase DeLauter Over 0.5 Hits
Minnesota Twins @ Cleveland Guardians
-250PENDING
Edge
Empirical 86.2% over last 15 games vs 71.4% implied → +14.8pt EV.
Signal
Lineup gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)
Context
MLB player-prop alt surface, over-side EV-gated (betmgm)
Risk
Empirical-only model on last 15 games; opp + park adjustments not modeled. CLV-tracked. Kelly-sized at 0.25.
Audit trail
Pick ID#636
UUID53810f0d-47cd-4bae-9a6d-66de648dc9ac
Surfaceprop-slate-daily
Posted2026-05-09 22:49 UTC
Gradedpending
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash58327d819aadc6ee6c32e4e4f6ebdd5557d5845abc713a1c043470bd948a97c5
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