Skip to main content
NuroPicksAlpha
Today···Model 30d···0 LIVE
start
← back to record
mlbAlt PlayerProp.2026-08-23🔒Pro◆◆◆◆◇Nuro Edge 8.0LOCKED eb6807ea

George Springer Over 0.5 Hits

Toronto Blue Jays @ New York Yankees

-176risk0.17u→win0.1u
WIN
ESPN box score →

Stake

0.17u

Odds

-176

Closing

-197

CLV

+4.02%

Source

AI

Why this pick4 factors · locked at post time
Edge

Empirical 88.4% over last 15 games vs 63.8% implied → +24.6pt EV.

Signal

Lineup gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)

Context

MLB player-prop alt surface, over-side EV-gated (bovada)

Risk

Empirical-only model on last 15 games; opp + park adjustments not modeled. CLV-tracked. Kelly-sized at 0.25. · elite-gate: n=0 < min 30

Final · Grading detail
Toronto Blue Jays3
New York Yankees8
Winner: New York Yankees · 2026-08-23
Model Record (30d)
prop-edge-v2-handed-fallback-parkTrailing 30-day window
Picks
22
Settled
22
Hit rate
60.0%
12-8
ROI
-5.88%
-0.18u
CLV avg
+1.25%
n=19
Last 20 settled · cumulative units
ProvisionalProvisional sample (22 settled). Below the 500-pick verification gate — treat ROI as directional, not proof of edge.
Related Picks (20)

CLV math

Posted
-176
1.5682
Closing
-197
1.5076
Delta
+4.02%
posted/closing - 1

Positive CLV means we beat the closing number. Leading indicator the model and timing edge are real.

Audit trail

Pick ID#1827
UUID67c6ee1d-9b45-4f8e-b737-18d89297b3c7
Surfaceprop-slate-daily
Posted2026-08-23 15:38 UTC
Graded2026-08-23 21:15 UTC
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hasheb6807eab5e69af7182be07c95680be695305c30b92c69a67e062cb567fab2c5
Closing line-197 captured 2026-08-23 16:15 UTC
CLV delta+4.02%
Closing hashcd59821d4abd491702390d507f86da147548d6171ba4221bda6586c1feae17ba

Share this receipt

Post to X 

Why this receipt is trustable

  • Append-only ledger87.4% hashed
    1,137 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
  • Graded against close62.0% closed
    1,123 settled picks · 62.0% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
  • Every pick public14 pending
    Wins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
Entertainment, not financial advice. 21+ only. Past performance does not predict future results. If sports betting stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Must be 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. NJ/PA: 1-800-GAMBLER · MI: 1-800-270-7117 · VA: 1-888-532-3500 · CO: 1-800-522-4700 · NY: 877-846-7369 (HOPENY).

NuroPicks LLC · 30 N Gould St Ste R, Sheridan, WY 82801