Chase DeLauter Over 0.5 Hits
Los Angeles Angels @ Cleveland Guardians
-235LOSS
Edge
Empirical 86.2% over last 15 games vs 70.1% implied → +16.1pt EV.
Signal
Lineup gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)
Context
MLB player-prop alt surface, over-side EV-gated (fanatics) (ref: 1ed2ac)
Risk
Empirical-only model on last 15 games; opp + park adjustments not modeled. CLV-tracked. Kelly-sized at 0.25.
Audit trail
Pick ID#681
UUID00181baf-111d-41c3-9f7d-b23335a2395d
Surfaceprop-slate-daily
Posted2026-05-11 20:35 UTC
Graded2026-05-12 03:05 UTC
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hashd0010e3a32f285db251139840ea09aa5db3890b414cf91fb900ff9e062d41e9a
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