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mlbMoneyline.2026-05-12🔒Pro◆◆◆◆Nuro Edge 8.0LOCKED f9a4ab95

Cleveland Guardians ML

Los Angeles Angels @ Cleveland Guardians

-129risk1uwin0.78u
WIN
ESPN box score →

Stake

1u

Odds

-129

Closing

-136

CLV

+2.30%

Source

AI

Why this pick4 factors · locked at post time
Edge

Pre-tip moneyline favorite, line-shopped to best of 13 US books (chosen book: betrivers)

Signal

Lineup-gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)

Context

MLB Tracked Pick · single-game pre-commit · v0 stub model

Risk

sharp-stub-v0 picks the moneyline favorite at fire time. The juice on favorites prices the raw hit rate; net edge after juice is unproven on this small sample. **No edge claim. Track, don't tail.** Public record at nuropicks.com/record. · elite-gate: n=15 < min 30

Final · Grading detail
Los Angeles Angels2
Cleveland Guardians3
Winner: Cleveland Guardians · 2026-05-12
Related Picks (20)

CLV math

Posted
-129
1.7752
Closing
-136
1.7353
Delta
+2.30%
posted/closing - 1

Positive CLV means we beat the closing number. Leading indicator the model and timing edge are real.

Audit trail

Pick ID#700
UUID2bf24c11-3cb3-4861-b0f9-dc809b292b0f
Surfacesharp:MLB
Posted2026-05-12 20:56 UTC
Graded2026-05-13 01:04 UTC
Lineup confirmmlb:824442:2026-05-12T22:10:00Z
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hashf9a4ab95630a51817a227c3b22e95031c170c7bec2ff7e1f1d11979cda1ced5b
Closing line-136 captured 2026-05-12 22:12 UTC
CLV delta+2.30%
Closing hash0490e4c2800190b9abfd5717e1713f3ba89950b7bae0299230a97f49c7d210c5

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Why this receipt is trustable

  • Append-only ledger82.7% hashed
    1,255 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
  • Graded against close63.4% closed
    1,243 settled picks · 63.4% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
  • Every pick public12 pending
    Wins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
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