New York Yankees +1.5
New York Yankees @ Baltimore Orioles
Edge
Friendly alt spread at 73.3% implied (target 70%), trades payout for hit rate. Side rationale: ML favorite New York Yankees → away spread.
Signal
Same lineup gate as ML
Context
MLB alt-spread surface, away-side at friendly rung
Risk
Alt-line heuristic. No model fair-line; we're buying probability, not edge. Track CLV vs. mainline closing.
Audit trail
Pick ID#704
UUID2488ec6b-0802-4732-a748-1d042a400a86
Surfacesharp:MLB
Posted2026-05-12 22:06 UTC
Graded2026-05-13 01:29 UTC
Lineup confirmmlb:824843:2026-05-12T22:35:00Z
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hashe7fb445d9151222698e178675910e84c18c4f1208432c75a601faf25a894c696
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