Under 11
New York Yankees @ Baltimore Orioles
Edge
Friendly alt under at 71.0% implied (target 70%), trades payout for hit rate. Side rationale: neutral vegas band, under rung lower-juice (71.0% vs 72.2%).
Signal
Same lineup gate as ML
Context
MLB alt-total surface, under-side at friendly rung
Risk
Alt-line heuristic. No model fair-line; we're buying probability, not edge. Track CLV vs. mainline closing.
Final · Grading detail
New York Yankees6
Baltimore Orioles2
Winner: New York Yankees · 2026-05-12
Related Picks (20)
Same slate
Same team (7d)
Same model
Audit trail
Pick ID#705
UUIDff6fc06c-4a6a-4151-8c5b-d883d1cdd45c
Surfacesharp:MLB
Posted2026-05-12 22:06 UTC
Graded2026-05-13 01:34 UTC
Lineup confirmmlb:824843:2026-05-12T22:35:00Z
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hasha41dbe658bd5392f32ca1a5731b5b5e32a27880b247628d0724bbb0d775c403a
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