Friendly alt over at 71.0% implied (target 70%), trades payout for hit rate. Side rationale: neutral vegas band, over rung lower-juice (71.0% vs 75.0%).

Signal

Same lineup gate as ML

Context

MLB alt-total surface, over-side at friendly rung

Risk

Alt-line heuristic. No model fair-line; we're buying probability, not edge. Track CLV vs. mainline closing.

Audit trail

Pick ID#702

UUIDa30515ae-c212-4208-b48f-e49b1b07b33c

Surfacesharp:MLB

Posted2026-05-12 20:56 UTC

Graded2026-05-13 01:14 UTC

Lineup confirmmlb:824442:2026-05-12T22:10:00Z

ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger

Opening hash327a52352bcfbeee2ccec21e9964efac64a6314e4a671addd24b26e76e430778

Entertainment, not financial advice. 21+ only. Past performance does not predict future results. If sports betting stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Must be 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. NJ/PA: 1-800-GAMBLER · MI: 1-800-270-7117 · VA: 1-888-532-3500 · CO: 1-800-522-4700 · NY: 877-846-7369 (HOPENY).

NuroPicks LLC · 30 N Gould St Ste R, Sheridan, WY 82801