Atlanta Braves +1
Chicago Cubs @ Atlanta Braves
Edge
Friendly alt spread at 73.1% implied (target 70%), trades payout for hit rate. Side rationale: ML favorite Atlanta Braves → home spread.
Signal
Same lineup gate as ML
Context
MLB alt-spread surface, home-side at friendly rung (ref: 89b773)
Risk
Alt-line heuristic. No model fair-line; we're buying probability, not edge. Track CLV vs. mainline closing.
Audit trail
Pick ID#751
UUIDad4eab52-7c3d-47b6-90ae-ec7baf37ff40
Surfacesharp:MLB
Posted2026-05-14 22:46 UTC
Graded2026-05-15 01:54 UTC
Lineup confirmmlb:824926:2026-05-14T23:15:00Z
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash0f35b3e61ab34871b62262d98650ad0eabea2305e97b6f489f7878f27385c2df
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