Pittsburgh Pirates +1
Colorado Rockies @ Pittsburgh Pirates
Edge
Friendly alt spread at 72.2% implied (target 70%), trades payout for hit rate. Side rationale: ML favorite Pittsburgh Pirates → home spread.
Signal
Same lineup gate as ML
Context
MLB alt-spread surface, home-side at friendly rung
Risk
Alt-line heuristic. No model fair-line; we're buying probability, not edge. Track CLV vs. mainline closing.
Audit trail
Pick ID#735
UUID1e79ed08-4819-4b89-8721-2a6afce91f54
Surfacesharp:MLB
Posted2026-05-14 15:21 UTC
Graded2026-05-14 19:19 UTC
Lineup confirmmlb:823383:2026-05-14T16:35:00Z
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash1c314f45271f800ba70d62a24bc1fd339634ddb03c1b0baa959888a04f8e0edb
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