New York Mets +1.5
Detroit Tigers @ New York Mets
Edge
Friendly alt spread at 72.8% implied (target 70%), trades payout for hit rate. Side rationale: ML favorite New York Mets → home spread.
Signal
Same lineup gate as ML
Context
MLB alt-spread surface, home-side at friendly rung
Risk
Alt-line heuristic. No model fair-line; we're buying probability, not edge. Track CLV vs. mainline closing.
Final · Grading detail
Detroit Tigers4
New York Mets9
Winner: New York Mets · 2026-05-14
Related Picks (20)
Same slate
Same team (7d)
Same model
Audit trail
Pick ID#738
UUIDadc9c235-47c3-4317-97aa-edf8784b2f64
Surfacesharp:MLB
Posted2026-05-14 16:41 UTC
Graded2026-05-14 19:49 UTC
Lineup confirmmlb:823630:2026-05-14T17:10:00Z
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash0d2574b936d4ce8fa9ea9a911c54f5983e06a4dbe73a19c3cb07b66ff75f60b5
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Why this receipt is trustable
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