Under 9.5
Chicago Cubs @ Atlanta Braves
Edge
Friendly alt under at 70.1% implied (target 70%), trades payout for hit rate. Side rationale: vegas total 7.5 ≤ 7.5 (low-scoring band) → under.
Signal
Same lineup gate as ML
Context
MLB alt-total surface, under-side at friendly rung (ref: 372fbf)
Risk
Alt-line heuristic. No model fair-line; we're buying probability, not edge. Track CLV vs. mainline closing.
Audit trail
Pick ID#752
UUIDdcc57660-27fc-45f5-9062-0aac890954d4
Surfacesharp:MLB
Posted2026-05-14 22:46 UTC
Graded2026-05-15 01:59 UTC
Lineup confirmmlb:824926:2026-05-14T23:15:00Z
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash5425a016b6fda46e5ebcad1c6365b22367d4595873094f94954bffab092f6fa4
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