Cincinnati Reds @ Cleveland Guardians
Friendly alt spread at 71.0% implied (target 70%), trades payout for hit rate. Side rationale: ML favorite Cleveland Guardians → home spread.
Same lineup gate as ML
MLB alt-spread surface, home-side at friendly rung
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Alt-line heuristic. No model fair-line; we're buying probability, not edge. Track CLV vs. mainline closing.