Cleveland Guardians +1.5
Cincinnati Reds @ Cleveland Guardians
Edge
Friendly alt spread at 71.0% implied (target 70%), trades payout for hit rate. Side rationale: ML favorite Cleveland Guardians → home spread.
Signal
Same lineup gate as ML
Context
MLB alt-spread surface, home-side at friendly rung
Risk
Alt-line heuristic. No model fair-line; we're buying probability, not edge. Track CLV vs. mainline closing.
Final · Grading detail
Cincinnati Reds4
Cleveland Guardians7
Winner: Cleveland Guardians · 2026-05-16
Related Picks (20)
Same slate
Same team (7d)
Same model
Audit trail
Pick ID#798
UUIDc766b3e9-2873-45c7-b19a-3eb8664d2d59
Surfacesharp:MLB
Posted2026-05-16 20:56 UTC
Graded2026-05-17 01:08 UTC
Lineup confirmmlb:824435:2026-05-16T22:10:00Z
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash175cd25da142585215a22bcb256dbdca74d659f2ecf82d7188331800d1c05956
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Why this receipt is trustable
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