Under 11.5
Kansas City Royals @ St. Louis Cardinals
Edge
Friendly alt under at 72.2% implied (target 70%), trades payout for hit rate. Side rationale: neutral vegas band, under rung lower-juice (72.2% vs 73.3%).
Signal
Same lineup gate as ML
Context
MLB alt-total surface, under-side at friendly rung
Risk
Alt-line heuristic. No model fair-line; we're buying probability, not edge. Track CLV vs. mainline closing.
Final · Grading detail
Kansas City Royals2
St. Louis Cardinals4
Winner: St. Louis Cardinals · 2026-05-16
Related Picks (20)
Same slate
Same team (7d)
Same model
Audit trail
Pick ID#790
UUID281a91e8-646c-439d-8c18-99203af0d691
Surfacesharp:MLB
Posted2026-05-16 17:01 UTC
Graded2026-05-16 21:18 UTC
Lineup confirmmlb:823060:2026-05-16T18:15:00Z
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash81e4664be731ce2324ab8970fb99aae9448c721a1542f1bdc56a67d168a8d2b0
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