St. Louis Cardinals +2
Kansas City Royals @ St. Louis Cardinals
Edge
Friendly alt spread at 70.3% implied (target 70%), trades payout for hit rate. Side rationale: ML favorite St. Louis Cardinals → home spread.
Signal
Same lineup gate as ML
Context
MLB alt-spread surface, home-side at friendly rung
Risk
Alt-line heuristic. No model fair-line; we're buying probability, not edge. Track CLV vs. mainline closing.
Final · Grading detail
Kansas City Royals2
St. Louis Cardinals4
Winner: St. Louis Cardinals · 2026-05-16
Related Picks (20)
Same slate
Same team (7d)
Same model
Audit trail
Pick ID#789
UUID1eeb7884-df48-4040-b286-310ee4564c02
Surfacesharp:MLB
Posted2026-05-16 17:01 UTC
Graded2026-05-16 21:13 UTC
Lineup confirmmlb:823060:2026-05-16T18:15:00Z
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash4f6bc64cc99cdf5ffaad0bf197073879d57f580dac74b2e412c3d3a9dccb36d0
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